2024 Washington gubernatorial election
November 5, 2024
Incumbent Governor

Jay Inslee
Democratic


The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary will be held on August 6.

Though incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for re-election to a fourth term, he announced in May 2023 that he would not do so.[1]

The primary election will take place on August 6, 2024.[2]

Background

As a generally liberal West Coast state, Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985).[3][4][5]

Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in 2012 and won reelection in 2016 and 2020, by increasing margins each time. On May 1, 2023, Inslee announced he would not seek re-election for a fourth term.[6]

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

Democratic candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Bob Ferguson (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 25 state senators[28]
  • 31 state representatives[28]
County officials
Local officials
Tribal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Tribes
Hilary Franz (D) (withdrawn)
Organizations
Mark Mullet (D)
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Organizations
Dave Reichert (R)
State legislators
County officials
Semi Bird (R)
Sheriffs
Individuals
Party endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Semi
Bird (R)		 Bob
Ferguson (D)		 Mark
Mullet (D)		 Dave
Reichert (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 10% 31% 5% 31% 22%
Hypothetical polling
with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Semi
Bird (R)		 Bob
Ferguson (D)		 Hilary
Franz (D)		 Raul
Garcia (R)		 Mark
Mullet (D)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] Jun 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 10% 25% 9% 17% 7% 33%
with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Dow
Constantine (D)		 Bruce
Dammeier (R)		 Bob
Ferguson (D)		 Hilary
Franz (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] March 7–8, 2023 874 (LV) ± 3.3% 7% 35% 21% 7% 30%
with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Inslee (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Crosscut/Elway December 27–29, 2022 403 (RV) ± 5% 34% 35% 17% 14%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Likely D July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[47] Likely D September 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely D July 13, 2023
Elections Daily[49] Safe D July 12, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Bob
Ferguson (D)		 Dave
Reichert (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 9%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

  1. 1 2 Furtado, David (May 1, 2023). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ↑ Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  4. ↑ Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  5. ↑ Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  6. ↑ "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Frisk, Garrett (November 10, 2023). "Bob Ferguson Is Likely To Be Washington's Next Governor. Who Stands in His Way?". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  8. ↑ "Washington AG Bob Ferguson officially launches gubernatorial campaign". KOMO. September 9, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  9. ↑ Villalovas, Eden (June 26, 2023). "Washington governor race fills up as GOP tries to win back control for the first time in 40 years". Washington Examiner. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  10. ↑ Withycombe, Claire (June 1, 2023). "State Sen. Mark Mullet announces bid for WA governor". Seattle Times. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023.
  11. ↑ Gilbert, L.B. (May 10, 2023). "Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces campaign for WA governor". MYNorthwest.
  12. ↑ Brunner, Jim (November 10, 2023). "WA lands commissioner Hilary Franz drops out of governor's race to run for Congress". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  13. 1 2 Brunner, Jim (March 17, 2023). "King County Executive Dow Constantine won't run for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  14. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan (May 2, 2023). "Races for governor in several states have ties to Capitol Hill". Roll Call. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  15. ↑ Cornfield, Jerry (May 25, 2023). "Heck launches re-election bid for lieutenant governor". Washington State Standard. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  16. 1 2 Gutman, David; Girgis, Lauren (September 9, 2023). "Jay Inslee endorses Bob Ferguson to succeed him as WA governor". The Seattle Times.
  17. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (November 11, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  18. ↑ Vander Stoep, Isabel (May 17, 2023). "Liquor License Reapplication Denied for Chehalis Restaurant That Flouted COVID Closure Orders". The Chronicle. Retrieved November 10, 2023. Still, as optimistic as ever, Khan now has her sights set elsewhere: the governor's office...she intends to run as a Republican in 2024.
  19. ↑ Mikkelsen, Drew (July 7, 2023). "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". KING 5. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  20. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia steps out of gubernatorial race to make way for former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert". The News Tribune.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Villenueve, Andrew (June 28, 2023). "Is Dave Reichert getting ready to run for governor in 2024? It sure looks that way". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  22. ↑ Brunner, Jim (October 9, 2023). "Former U.S. Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler plans to run for WA lands commissioner". The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  23. ↑ Gilbert, L. B. (May 1, 2023). "Who's next for WA Governor? Top candidates to follow a decade of Inslee". MYNorthwest. Retrieved May 14, 2023.
  24. 1 2 Wolf, Stephen (June 22, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 6/22". Daily Kos. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  25. ↑ Santos, Melissa (May 2, 2023). "May 2, 2023 - Politics With Inslee out, here's who might run for Washington governor". Axios. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  26. ↑ "Ferguson Gets Cantwell's Endorsement for Governor". www.postalley.org. October 21, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  27. 1 2 3 4 "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. May 2, 2023. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Frisk, Garrett (May 5, 2023). "Democrat Bob Ferguson Announces Laundry List of Endorsements in Washington Governor Race". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved May 6, 2023.
  29. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/31". Daily Kos. May 31, 2023.
  30. ↑ Nir, David (September 11, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/11". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  31. ↑ "Fuse Washington Endorses Bob Ferguson for 2024, Slate of Candidates for 2023 | Fuse Washington". fusewashington.org. Archived from the original on October 16, 2023. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  32. ↑ "IFPTE Proudly Endorses Bob Ferguson for Governor of Washington". IFPTE. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  33. ↑ "SEIU 775 Endorses Bob Ferguson for WA Governor 2024 – SEIU775". Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  34. ↑ "Endorsements". UFW. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  35. ↑ staff, Source ONE News (November 21, 2023). "Colville Tribes endorse Bob Ferguson for governor". Source ONE News. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  36. ↑ "Our 2024 Endorsements". National Women's Political Caucus of Washington. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
  37. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Villeneuve, Andrew (June 1, 2023). "Washington State Senator Mark Mullet launches 2024 gubernatorial campaign". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  38. ↑ "News Release: Homebuilders Endorse Mullet for Governor". www.biaw.com. June 30, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  39. 1 2 O'Sullivan, Joseph (July 31, 2023). "WA governor candidate Semi Bird set for school board recall vote". Crosscut.com. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  40. 1 2 3 Brunner, Jim (November 26, 2023). "Semi Bird challenging Dave Reichert for GOP nomination for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Archived from the original on November 26, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  41. ↑ https://www.instagram.com/birdforgovernor/p/CyRXuKOyqcw/
  42. ↑ "Benton County Republican Party endorsements". Benton County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Clark County Republican Party endorsements". Clark County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  44. ↑ https://m.facebook.com/photo.php/?fbid=620386686911404
  45. ↑ "SCRP Endorses Semi Bird for Governor and Jim Walsh for WSRP State Chair". Skagit County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  46. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  47. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  48. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  49. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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