2024 United States presidential election in Montana
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic


The 2024 United States presidential election in Montana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Montana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Montana has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1] Though somewhat less conservative than its neighboring states, Montana hasn't been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton did so in 1992 nor has it been competitive at this level since Democrat Barack Obama came up less than 3 points shy of carrying the state in 2008. The Treasure State is favored to be carried by the Republican presidential candidate in 2024.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Montana Republican primary is scheduled to be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

General election

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) ? 51% 39% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 49% 36% 15%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
DeSantis
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) ? 50% 36% 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 42% 35% 23%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
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