2024 Missouri gubernatorial election
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Mike Parson
Republican


The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jay Ashcroft
Organizations
Mike Kehoe
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft		 Bill
Eigel		 Mike
Kehoe		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories October 26–31, 2023 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 18% 6% 19% – 49%
Remington Research/Missouri Scout September 27–28, 2023 714 (LV) ± 3.4% 32% 5% 15% – 48%
Remington Research/Missouri Scout July 5–7, 2023 706 (LV) ± 3.4% 34% 4% 14% – 38%
Remington Research/Missouri Scout November 15–16, 2022 940 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 4% 10% – 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] March 8–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% – 19% 8% 19%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Crystal Quade
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 40 state legislators[20]
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Hamra		 Crystal
Quade		 Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 39% 58%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Solid R July 21, 2023
Inside Elections[25] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R July 13, 2023
Elections Daily[27] Safe R July 12, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Mike Kehoe vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Kehoe (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 38% 33% – 29%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 34% – 27%
Bill Eigel vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Eigel (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 34% – 33%
Mike Kehoe vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Kehoe (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 27% – 36%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 29% – 32%
Bill Eigel vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Eigel (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26-31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 30% – 37%

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Committee for Liberty PAC, which supports Ashcroft

References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ↑ Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
  3. ↑ Singer, Jeff (August 17, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/17". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
  4. ↑ Hancock, Jason (March 22, 2021). "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  5. ↑ "Gubernatorial hopeful Jay Ashcroft lands key endorsement from Missouri Right to Life". www.stltoday.com. July 18, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  6. ↑ Hays, Brady (April 5, 2022). "Fire Fighter Association of Missouri endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 5, 2022.
  7. ↑ "Kehoe backed by Missouri Fraternal Order of Police in gubernatorial bid". The Missouri Times. February 28, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  8. ↑ Turner, Kelton (May 19, 2022). "Kehoe backed by American Council of Engineering Companies of Missouri". Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  9. 1 2 3 "Kehoe Gains 12th Endorsement in Bid for Missouri Governor in '24". Northwest MO Info. November 28, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 Brady, Hays (March 22, 2022). "Missouri Agribusiness Association endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  11. ↑ Hays, Brady (June 14, 2022). "Missouri Asphalt Pavement Association endorses Mike Kehoe for Governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  12. ↑ "Mike Kehoe gains gubernatorial endorsement from Missouri Chamber of Commerce". Springfield News-Leader. Archived from the original on September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  13. ↑ McFarland, Matthew (August 26, 2022). "Missouri Forest Products Association endorses Kehoe for 2024 Governor race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  14. ↑ Hays, Brady (May 23, 2022). "Missouri Limestone Producers Association endorses Mike Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  15. ↑ "SITE Improvement Association Endorses Mike Kehoe for Missouri Governor In 2024". St. Louis Construction News & Review. March 1, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  16. ↑ Keller, Rudi (October 27, 2023). "Springfield businessman Mike Hamra joins Democratic race for Missouri governor". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  17. ↑ Sellem, Lucas (July 9, 2023). "Rep. Crystal Quade announces run for MO governor". KMOV. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
  18. ↑ Suntrup, Jack (January 9, 2024). "Scorned by fellow Democrats, Shrewsbury state rep announces run for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  19. 1 2 3 "Crystal Quade gains endorsement from Planned Parenthood in 2024 gubernatorial bid". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  20. ↑ Sundrup, Jack (October 11, 2023). "Missouri Democrat Crystal Quade could face intraparty competition in bid for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  21. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  22. ↑ "2024 Missouri Sierra Club Election Endorsements | Sierra Club". www.sierraclub.org. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  23. ↑ Alpert, Lynn (September 25, 2023). "Missouri AFL-CIO endorses Crystal Quade for governor". The Labor Tribune. Retrieved September 30, 2023.
  24. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  25. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  26. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  27. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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