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The 2024 European Parliament election in Germany is scheduled to be held on 9 June 2024.[1] This will be the tenth parliamentary election since the first direct elections in 1979, and the first European Parliament election after Brexit.[2][3]
Background
The 2024 European Parliament election will be the first national election to be held in Germany since the 2021 federal election, in which retiring Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats lost to the Social Democratic Party led by Olaf Scholz.[4]
Electoral threshold
Since the 2014 European Parliament election, Germany does not have a formal threshold of the vote share required in order for a party to win an EP seat. This has allowed a number of smaller parties to gain representation, since they only have to reach about 0.5% of the vote share needed to get their first seat with the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.
Germany is entitled to elect 96 Members of the European Parliament.[5]
Although the European Council had recommended that countries with greater than 35 MEPs should introduce a threshold between 2 and 5%, the German government abandoned its plans for a 2% threshold in November 2018.[6] In 2022, the government decided to introduce a 2% threshold, but this will not yet apply in the 2024 election.[7] In 2019, the de facto threshold for a seat was around 0.7% of the vote.
Parties campaigning for election
Political parties and other political associations may submit lists for the European elections. The lists must be submitted by the 83rd day before the election. Nationwide lists must be signed by 4,000 eligible voters, state lists by 1 per thousand, but not more than 2,000 eligible voters of the respective state (section 9 (5) EuWG). Parties that have been represented in the Bundestag, a regional parliament or the European Parliament with at least five members since its last election are exempt from the obligation to submit supporting signatures. These are (sorted by election results 2019):
Party | European Party | Group | 2019 result | Top candidate | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CDU/CSU | EPP | EPP | 28.9% | Manfred Weber | |
Greens | EGP | Greens/EFA | 20.5% | Terry Reintke, Sergey Lagodinsky | |
SPD | PES | S&D | 15.8% | Katarina Barley | |
AfD | ID | ID | 11.0% | Maximilian Krah | |
Left | PEL | GUE/NGL | 5.5% | Martin Schirdewan, Carola Rackete | |
FDP | ALDE | Renew | 5.4% | Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann | |
FW[lower-alpha 1] | EDP | Renew | 2.2% | ||
Alliance Germany[lower-alpha 2] | ECR | – | – | – | |
BSW | – | – |
The following other parties are currently represented in the European Parliament with one MEP each:
Party | European Party | Group | 2019 result | Top candidate | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PARTEI | – | Non-inscrits | 2.4% | ||
ÖDP | – | Greens/EFA | 1.0% | ||
Family Party | ECPM | EPP | 0.7% | Helmut Geuking | |
Volt | Volt | Greens/EFA | 0.7% | Damian Boeselager, Nela Riehl[8] | |
Pirates | PPEU | Greens/EFA | 0.7% | Anja Hirschel[9] |
The following other parties or political associations have announced their intention to stand for election:
- Animal Protection Party with top candidate Sebastian Everding[10]
- Party of Humanists with top candidate Sascha Boelcke[11]
- Feminist Party of Germany[12]
- Liberal Democrats with top candidate Chris Ward[13]
Opinion polling
Federal level
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union EPP |
Grüne G/EFA |
SPD S&D |
AfD ID |
Linke Left |
FDP Renew |
PARTEI NI |
FW Renew |
Tiersch. Left |
BSW NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 30.5 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5.5 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 14.8 | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | — | 3.8 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | — | 6.9 | 8.4 |
By state
Bavaria
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CSU | Grüne | SPD | AfD | FW | FDP | Linke | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 42 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25 |
2023 state election | 8 Oct 2023 | – | 37.0 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 14.6 | 15.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 21.2 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 31.7 | 14.1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 13.7 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 40.7 | 19.1 | 9.3 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 21.6 |
Notes
- ↑ The Free Voters are in the regional parliament of Bavaria and Rhineland-Palatinate
- ↑ Alliance Germany is represented in Bremen's parliament through its merger with Citizens in Rage
References
- ↑ "Wahltermin Europawahl 2024 - Die Bundeswahlleiterin". www.bundeswahlleiterin.de. Retrieved 18 August 2023.
- ↑ "EUR-Lex - 12007L/TXT - EN - EUR-Lex". eur-lex.europa.eu. Retrieved 15 July 2021.
- ↑ "Elections". European Parliament. Archived from the original on 28 June 2018. Retrieved 15 July 2021.
- ↑ "After a tight election, Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats come out just in front". The Economist. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
- ↑ "How are members of the European Parliament elected? | News | European Parliament". European Parliament. Retrieved 8 August 2023.
- ↑ Christian Kerl. "Europawahl 2019: Große Koalition begräbt Pläne für Sperrklausel". Retrieved 19 January 2019.
- ↑ Milzner, Jakob (24 May 2023). "Europawahl: Prozenthürde geplant – deutschen Kleinparteien droht das Aus". www.rnd.de (in German). Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ "Ratsherr Kai Tegethoff auf Platz 3 der Volt-Liste zur Europawahl". regionalHeute.de (in German). 22 September 2023. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ "Aufbruch! Piratenpartei stellt Liste zur Europawahl 2024 auf". Piratenpartei Deutschland (in German). 26 June 2023. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ Everding, Sebastian (30 July 2023). "Aus NRW für das Europäische Parlament". PARTEI MENSCH UMWELT TIERSCHUTZ (in German). Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ Anonym (25 April 2023). "Pressemitteilung – Die Humanisten auf dem Weg nach Europa". Partei der Humanisten (in German). Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ "Bringt uns nach EUROPA!". Die Feministische Partei (in German). 30 April 2023. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ↑ "Chris Ward". Liberale Demokraten - Die Sozialliberalen (in German). Retrieved 23 September 2023.