The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the EU election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
List of polling
There are no pan-European polls for the European elections. However, several organizations calculate the theoretical seat distribution in the European Parliament in advance to the EP election based on national polls in all member states. The table below displays these different projections. The projections prior to 31 January 2020 still include the United Kingdom, which left the EU on that date.[1]
Seats
361 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority
Organisation | Release date |
Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | Greens/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[2] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
Der Föderalist[3] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
election.de[4] | 09 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Europe Elects[5] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
POLITICO Europe[6] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects[7] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
POLITICO Europe[8] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist[3] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects[9] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer-SD and Hlas-SD due to their coalition with the controversial SNS party.[10] | |||||||||||||
POLITICO Europe[11] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[12] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
Der Föderalist[13] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
POLITICO Europe[14] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[15] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
POLITICO Europe[16] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects[17] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist[18] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist[19] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects[20] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist[21] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist[22] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist[23] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects[24] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects[25] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist[26] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist[27] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist[28] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist[29] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist[30] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects[31] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist[32] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects[33] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[34] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects[35] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects[36] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist[37] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist[38] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects[39] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects[40] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[41] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects[42] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects[43] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist[44] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[45] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[46] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects[47] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist[48] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects[49] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects[50] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist[51] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects[52] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects[53] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects[54] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects[55] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects[56] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects[57] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects[58] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects[59] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects[60] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[61] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects[62] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects[63] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
Popular vote
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date |
Area | The Left | S&D | Greens/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects[24] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[25] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[31] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[33] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[35] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[36] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects[39] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[40] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[57] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects[58] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[45] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[47] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects[47] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects[47] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[49] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects[50] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects[52] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects[53] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[54] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects[55] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects[56] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects[57] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects[58] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[59] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[60] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[61] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects[1] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects[1] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election[64] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election[1] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
National opinion polling
Austria
Czechia
France
Germany
Greece
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP |
SYRIZA Left |
PASOK S&D |
KKE NI |
XA[lower-alpha 1] NI |
EL ECR |
MeRA25 Left |
PE NI |
SP NI |
NIKI NI |
NA Left |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prorata/Attica | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 28.3 |
June 2023 parliamentary election | 25 June 2023 | – | 40.6 | 17.8 | 11.8 | 7.7 | — | 4.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.6 | 21.8 |
May 2023 parliamentary election | 21 May 2023 | – | 40.8 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 7.2 | — | 4.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | — | 2.9 | — | 7.6 | 20.7 |
2019 parliamentary election | 7 July 2019 | – | 39.9 | 31.5 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.3[lower-alpha 2] | — | — | 2.4 | 8.4 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0[lower-alpha 3] | 1.6 | 1.5[lower-alpha 2] | — | — | 14.8 | 9.3 |
- ↑ De facto banned, former XA members joined SP.
- 1 2 Alongside Union of Centrists.
- ↑ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
Hungary
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Fidesz- KDNP NI–EPP |
DK S&D |
Momentum Renew |
MSZP S&D |
P G/EFA |
LMP G/EFA |
Jobbik NI |
Our Homeland NI |
MKKP NI |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 4 | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | Apr 28–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 April 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 19.7 | |||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 16.1 | 9.9 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 36.5 |
European Parliament considers Hungary a "hybrid regime of electoral autocracy" since 2022.[65]
Italy
Portugal
Romania
Slovenia
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP |
SLS EPP |
GS Renew |
SD S&D |
NSi EPP |
Levica Left |
Logar NI |
Prebilič NI |
Rupar NI |
Others | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–7 Dec 2023 | Ninamedia | – | 700 | 19.9 | 5.1 | 15.8 | 15.6 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 17.0 | 11.3 | 1.2 | – | 2.2 | [66] |
24 April 2022 | 2022 parliamentary election | – | – | 23.5 | 3.4 | 40.8 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 14.3 | 17.3 | |
26 May 2019 | 2019 election | – | – | 26.2 | 19.4 | 18.6 | 11.1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | 9.7 | 6.8 |
Spain
See also
- Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections, Belgium holds other elections on the same day which have polls yet
References
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ↑ Griera, Max (2024-01-15). "EU election forecast: Far-right consolidates third position, Italy's left gains ground". EURACTIV. Retrieved 2024-01-15.
- 1 2 Müller, Manuel (11 January 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (January 2024): Left and Liberals lose, far-right ID group becomes third largest force". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
- ↑ Moehl, Matthias (2024-01-09). "Prognose zur EU-Wahl sieht Rechtspopulisten als größte Gewinner". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-01-09.
- ↑ Garscha, Mingo (2023-12-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Le Pen's Right-Wing ID Rises to Third Place". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-12-30.
- ↑ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-12-11). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
- ↑ Garscha, Mingo (2023-11-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Record High for ID". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-11-30.
- ↑ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-11-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
- ↑ Garscha, Mingo (2023-10-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Scare for S&D and ECR, Treats for EPP". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-10-31.
- ↑ Wax, Eddy; Barigazzi, Jacopo; Jochecová, Ketrin (12 October 2023). "European socialists suspend Robert Fico's Smer party and its ally Hlas". Archived from the original on 12 October 2023.
- ↑ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-10-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
- ↑ Grischa, Mingo (2023-09-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Meloni's ECR Close to Becoming 3rd".
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (15 September 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (September 2023): Socialists are catching up". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
- ↑ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-09-07). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
- ↑ Grischa, Mingo (2023-08-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Not Much LEFT".
- ↑ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-08-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
- ↑ Garscha, Mingo (2023-07-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection 2024". Europe Elects.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (20 July 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (July 2023): How far will the new Parliament shift to the right?". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 31 July 2023.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (25 May 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (May 2023): Pre-election skirmishes between EPP and S&D – Greens and Left gain ground". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
- ↑ Garscha, Mingo (2023-04-28). "EU Parliamentary Projection 2024". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2022-04-28.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (30 March 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (March 2023): EPP lead over S&D is shrinking". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 30 March 2023.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (3 February 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (February 2023): The centre-right extends its lead – could there be a majority without the S&D?". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 3 February 2023.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (8 December 2022). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2022): S&D make significant gains, Liberals fall back". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 9 December 2022.
- 1 2 Garscha, Mingo (2022-12-07). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Less Seats for Centre(-Right), More for Centre-Left". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2022-12-08.
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- ↑ Müller, Manuel (14 October 2022). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Oktober 2022): S&D und Grüne verlieren, Rechte legen zu". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 14 October 2022.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (23 August 2022). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (August 2022): EVP und Grüne legen zu, Newcomer im rechten Lager". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (27 June 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Juni 2022): EVP erhöht Vorsprung auf S&D, Grüne legen zu". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 27 June 2022.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (26 April 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (April 2022): Wie sich der Ukraine-Krieg auf die Wahlumfragen auswirkt". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 3 May 2022.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (1 March 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (März 2022): Aufstieg der Newcomer". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
- 1 2 Jukić, Luka Ivan (8 January 2022). "EU Parliamentary Projection: France's Re-Alignment Becomes Europe's". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 November 2021.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (4 January 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Januar 2022): EVP legt zu, Grüne verlieren, rechte Einheitsfraktion scheitert". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 6 January 2022.
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- ↑ Müller, Manuel (10 November 2021). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (November 2021): S&D macht weiter Boden gut". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 6 January 2022.
- 1 2 Jukić, Luka Ivan (4 November 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Left Takes the Lead for the First Time in Years". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 November 2021.
- 1 2 Jensen, Linus Folke (8 October 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Right, Centre-Left in Tossup for First Place". Europe Elects. Retrieved 8 October 2021.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (14 September 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (September 2021): Sozialdemokratie im Aufschwung". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
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- 1 2 Jensen, Linus Folke (9 July 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Greens down, ID up". Europe Elects. Retrieved 9 July 2021.
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- ↑ Müller, Manuel (26 May 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Mai 2021): S&D auf neuem Rekordtief, Zugewinne bei den Grünen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
- ↑ Jensen, Linus Folke (2 May 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Left Takes a Hit". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2 May 2021.
- ↑ Jensen, Linus Folke (2 March 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Historic Setback for the Centre-Right". Europe Elects. Retrieved 8 April 2021.
- ↑ Müller, Manuel (31 March 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (März 2021): Fidesz-Austritt und CDU-Schwäche lassen EVP abstürzen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
- 1 2 Crowcroft, Orlando (2021-03-03). "Hungary PM Orban's party quits the largest group in European Parliament". Euronews. Retrieved 2021-07-09.
- ↑ "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Februar 2021): EVP verliert, Newcomer gewinnen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. 3 February 2021.
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- ↑ Müller, Manuel (9 December 2020). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Dezember 2020): Zurück zum Ausgangspunkt". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
- 1 2 "EU Parliamentary Projection: The Right-Wing in Retreat". Europe Elects. 2 December 2020. Retrieved 6 December 2020.
- 1 2 "EU Parliamentary Projection: Talent-Show Judges, Folk Singers, and Eastern Europe". Europe Elects. 31 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
- ↑ "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Oktober 2020): Sozialdemokraten verlieren, Liberale und Rechte gewinnen". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 28 October 2020.
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- 1 2 "EU Parliamentary Projection: No Domino-Effect Caused by Brexit in Sight". Europe Elects. 31 August 2020. Retrieved 31 August 2020.
- 1 2 "EU Parliament Projection: Centre-Right EPP Would Win EU Election". Europe Elects. 14 August 2020. Retrieved 21 August 2020.
- 1 2 "EU Parliament Projection: One Year After the EU Election Post date". Europe Elects. Retrieved 29 May 2020.
- 1 2 "EU Parliament Projection: One Year After the EU Election Post date". Europe Elects. 28 May 2020. Retrieved 29 May 2020.
- 1 2 3 "EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
- 1 2 3 "EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 April 2020.
- 1 2 "European Parliament Projection: Ireland, Thuringia, and the Aftermath". Europe Elects. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
- 1 2 "European Parliament Projection: The EU Parliament Post-Brexit". Europe Elects. February 2020. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
- 1 2 Jamieson, Alastair; Crowcroft, Orlando (2020-01-31). "Sadness and celebration as Britain leaves the European Union". Euronews. Retrieved 2021-07-09.
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- ↑ Committee on Civil Liberties, Justice and Home Affairs (2022-07-25). INTERIM REPORT on the proposal for a Council decision determining, pursuant to Article 7(1) of the Treaty on European Union, the existence of a clear risk of a serious breach by Hungary of the values on which the Union is founded (Report). European Parliament.
- ↑ Rok Čakš (18 December 2023). "Anketa o evropskih volitvah spodbudna za slovensko desno sredino". domovina.je (in Slovenian). Retrieved 19 December 2023.